26.08.202612:30:00UTC+00US PCE Inflation Holds Steady at 3.7% in July, Signaling Stalled Disinflation

The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation, rose 3.7% year-over-year in July 2026, unchanged from June’s 3.7% annual rate. The data, updated on 26 August 2026, indicate that the pace of disinflation has paused, with price growth stabilizing rather than continuing to ease.

On a year-over-year basis, July’s figure reflects the same rate of change as in June, meaning consumer prices in July 2026 were 3.7% higher than in July 2025, just as June prices were 3.7% above their level a year earlier. This flat reading suggests that, at least for now, inflation pressures are neither intensifying nor meaningfully retreating compared with earlier in the year.

Market participants and policymakers closely watch the PCE index because it captures a broad range of consumer spending and is used by the Federal Reserve as its primary inflation benchmark. With the annual rate holding steady, the latest reading offers little new directional signal on price dynamics, potentially reinforcing a wait-and-see stance as investors look to upcoming data for clearer evidence of either renewed inflationary momentum or a return to a lower trajectory.